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  • Tammy to strengthen into Atlantic’s next hurricane near northeast Caribbean

Tammy to strengthen into Atlantic’s next hurricane near northeast Caribbean

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(AccuWeather) — Tropical Storm Tammy developed in the central Atlantic on Wednesday evening, becoming the 19th named storm of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season. AccuWeather forecasters say that it will impact the islands in the northeastern Caribbean as a strengthening hurricane and has an outside chance to become a major hurricane — Category 3 or greater — as it pulls away from the islands next week.

AccuWeather experts have warned for days of a high chance of development into a tropical storm, and on Wednesday morning, dubbed the system a tropical rainstorm and initiated a track map to raise public awareness of the risk to lives and property. AccuWeather’s team of meteorologists expects Tammy to reach hurricane intensity as it crosses the Leeward Islands by early Saturday morning. Tammy may then continue to gain strength while passing over the islands this weekend.

Tammy was packing maximum sustained winds of 60 mph as it spun 100 miles to the northeast of Barbados and 185 miles to the east-southeast of Martinique in the eastern Caribbean as of late Thursday night, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). It was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 mph across the central Atlantic.

AccuWeather meteorologists expect Tammy to gain intensity as a tropical system through the weekend and into next week as it encounters atmospheric conditions generally favorable for sustaining a cyclone. Waters are very warm in the region, with sea-surface temperatures in the 80s F, and disruptive winds at mid-levels of the atmosphere, known as wind shear, are minimal.

Steering winds will continue to direct Tammy to the west, similar to the track that former Tropical Storm Sean followed last week. Into the weekend, an area of high pressure across the northern Atlantic will be the main factor behind steering flow across the basin. After Tammy moves near the Leeward Islands in the northeastern Caribbean over the weekend, it will turn more toward the north and then northeast by early next week.

However, Tammy was already tracking farther south than Sean did, and that means impacts from drenching showers and gusty thunderstorms are more likely in the eastern Caribbean, unlike with Sean.

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Caribbean impacts from Tammy

AccuWeather meteorologists have rated Tropical Storm Tammy as “1” on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes, which is a six-point scale ranging from “less than one” and 1 to 5. There is the likelihood of heavy rain, which could lead to incidents of flash flooding, mudslides and washouts in the Lesser Antilles, especially across the Leeward Islands of the northeastern Caribbean from Friday to Sunday.

The core of the heaviest rain may be rather small as Tammy is likely to become more compact over the next few days. However, a pocket where 4-8 inches of rain may fall with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 10 inches can occur in the northeasternmost islands.

Wind gusts of 40-80 mph are likely in the Leeward Islands. Power outages and downed trees are possible with winds of that magnitude.

The AccuWeather Local StormMax™ wind gust in the Leeward Islands is predicted to be 100 mph, which is Category 2 hurricane intensity. At this level, property damage to poorly constructed homes and businesses may occur.

The strengthening winds will raise seas in the region, which will not only be a hazard for swimmers due to rip currents but also for fishing and other craft in the region.

The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season thus far

The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season has been busy so far with 19 named storms in the books. There is about 40 days remaining of the official season, which ends on Nov. 30. This season has been above the historical average regarding the number of tropical storms. Only 14 named storms develop across the basin during an average hurricane season.

Six of the named storms so far in 2023 became hurricanes, and three strengthened into major hurricanes, which are at least Category 3 storms with sustained winds of 111 mph or higher. Hurricane Lee, which reached Category 5 strength with winds of 165 mph over the central Atlantic, was the strongest of the season to date. It delivered torrential rain and pounding surf across parts of New England and Atlantic Canada in mid-September.

Tropical Atlantic outpacing development in East Pacific

The Atlantic has been outpacing the East Pacific regarding tropical development, which is rather unusual for an El Niño year. As of Wednesday evening, the Atlantic has had three more storms, including named and unnamed systems and subtropical storms, than the Pacific. An El Niño phenomenon occurs when water temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific near the equator climb above historical averages for months at a time.

The El Niño pattern typically favors more tropical activity in the eastern Pacific due to warm ocean water, which acts as fuel for tropical systems, and it can also suppress tropical development at times over the Atlantic due to an increase in the frequency of disruptive wind patterns over the basin.

From 1971 to 2020, there were 16 hurricane seasons in an El Niño pattern, and of those, only three generated more storms in the Atlantic than in the East Pacific: 1972, 1976 and 1977. It has been 46 years since that occurred, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist and Manager of Forecasting Technology Michael Doll.

The eastern Pacific has been on a hot streak of late, however. Norma recently became the second Category 4 hurricane to form during October on Thursday and is forecast to strike Mexico. Lidia hit Mexico as a Category 4 hurricane on Oct. 10.

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REQUEST FOR EXPRESSIONS OF INTEREST

(CONSULTING SERVICES – INDIVIDUAL SELECTION)

 

OECS MSME Guarantee Facility Project

Loan No.: IDA-62670, IDA-62660, IDA-62640, IBRD-88830, IDA-62650

Assignment Title: Senior Operating Officer (SOO)

Reference No. KN-ECPCGC-207852-CS-INDV

 

The Governments of Antigua and Barbuda, Commonwealth of Dominica, Grenada, St. Lucia and St. Vincent and the Grenadines have received financing in the amount of US$10 million equivalent from the World Bank towards the cost of establishing a partial credit guarantee scheme, and they intend to apply part of the proceeds to payments for goods, and consulting services to be procured under this project. 

The consultant will serve as the “Senior Operating Officer (SOO)” for the ECPCGC and should possess extensive knowledge of MSME lending with some direct experience lending to Micro, small and medium-sized businesses, knowledge of the internal control processes necessary for a lending operation and the ability to design and implement risk mitigation procedures. The ideal candidate should possess an Undergraduate Degree from a reputable college or university, preferably in Business, Accounting, Banking or related field, with a minimum of 5 years’ experience in lending, inclusive of MSME lending. The initial employment period will be for two years on a contractual basis. Renewal of the contract will be subject to a performance evaluation at the end of the contractual period. The assignment is expected to begin on September 30th, 2021.  The consultant will report directly to the Chief Executive Officer of the ECPCGC.

The detailed Terms of Reference (TOR) for the assignment can be viewed by following the attached link below. 

 

https://bit.ly/3iVannm

 

The Eastern Caribbean Partial Credit Guarantee Corporation (ECPCGC) now invites eligible “Consultants” to indicate their interest in providing the Services. Interested Consultants should provide information demonstrating that they have:

  • An Undergraduate Degree from a reputable college or university, preferably in Business, Finance, Banking or related field; and
  • Minimum of 5 years’ experience in MSME lending. Applicants should also have:
  • The ability to design and implement risk management procedures 
  • Extensive knowledge of MSME lending with some direct experience lending to small and medium-sized businesses
  • Extensive knowledge of MSME banking operations
  • Knowledge of the internal controls necessary for a lending operation and the ability to design and implement risk management procedures
  • Experience developing and presenting information in public, including responding to questions in real-time
  • Experience lending to MSMEs located in the ECCU
  • Knowledge of marketing and communicating with the MSME sector
  • Ability to draft procedures to be used in a lending operation
  • Familiarity with the mechanics of a loan guarantee program
  • Exceptional written, oral, interpersonal, and presentation skills, and
  • Proficiency in the use of Microsoft Office suite.

The attention of interested Individual Consultants is drawn to Section III, Paragraphs 3.14, 3.16, and 3.17 of the World Bank’s Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers July 2016, [revised November 2017] (“Procurement Regulations”), setting forth the World Bank’s policy on conflict of interest. A Consultant will be selected in accordance with the Approved Selection Method for Individual Consultants set out in the clause 7.34 of the World Bank Procurement Regulations for IPF Borrowers. 

 

Further information can be obtained at the address below during office hours 0800 to 1700 hours:

Eastern Caribbean Partial Credit Guarantee Corporation

Brid Rock, Basseterre,

St. Kitts.

Expressions of interest must be delivered in a written form by e-mail by August 11th, 2021, to [email protected]

 

For further information, please contact:

Carmen Gomez-Trigg                                                            Bernard Thomas

Chief Executive Officer                                                          Chief Financial Officer

Tel: 868-620-8144                                                                  Tel: 869-765-2385

Email: [email protected]                                          [email protected]